The Weight Factor experiment

The Weight Factor Experiment
The Statistical Lottery Software Win More, Win More Often!

The Weight Factor experiment commenced on December 8, 2003 to evaluate the current performance of Lotto Cheatah's uncharted weight-factor function. The Illinois Little Lotto is used as the test game. Lotto Cheatah Version 1.34 was the current release version and started the experiment. The experiment is expected to run through December 30, 2003.

Ten picks are saved every Mon-Fri morning from every pick and weight setting starting at depth 50 through 500. Lotto Cheatah's PowerPicker function is used to make the picks. The post-draw performance results are as shown below:

[ Legend at page bottom ]

Date

Weight

Hits

$ Score

Best Hit %

Best $ Score

8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec
8 Dec

9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec
9 Dec

10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec
10 Dec

11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec
11 Dec

12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec
12 Dec

15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec
15 Dec

16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec
16 Dec

17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec
17 Dec

18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec
18 Dec

19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec
19 Dec

22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec
22 Dec

23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
23 Dec
24 Dec

24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec
24 Dec

25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec
25 Dec

26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec
26 Dec

29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec
29 Dec

30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec
30 Dec

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

25
41
48
51
52
52
50
38
52
46

3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

21
2
3
1
1
5
4
3
1
4

9
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

55
24
6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0

15
2
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0

38
8
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0

16
12
11
2
3
1
1
1
1
0

10
1
0
2
3
0
1
1
1
3

4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

10
12
8
13
12
15
14
14
15
10

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

60
56
62
55
34
22
10
5
7
4

19
8
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0

1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

8
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

27
25
13
3
2
2
0
0
0
0

1200
1968
2304
2448
2496
2496
2400
1824
2496
2208

144
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

2100
96
144
48
48
240
192
144
48
192

432
240
192
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

5916
1152
288
48
96
0
0
0
0
0

720
96
48
96
0
48
0
0
0
0

2916
384
144
96
48
0
0
0
0
0

1860
576
528
96
144
48
48
48
48
0

480
48
0
96
144
0
48
48
48
144

192
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

480
576
384
624
576
720
672
672
720
480

48
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

5064
2688
2976
2640
1632
1056
480
240
336
192

2004
384
384
96
48
0
0
0
0
0

48
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

384
192
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1296
1200
624
144
96
96
0
0
0
0

20% (over 1 draw)
70%
70%
40%
70%
70%
80%
40%
70%
70%

10% (over 2 draws)
35%
35%
20%
35%
35%
40%
20%
35%
35%

10% (over 3 draws)
27%
30%
17%
27%
37%
40%
20%
23%
33%

8% (over 4 draws)
20%
25%
12%
20%
28%
30%
15%
18%
25%

8% (over 5 draws)
16%
20%
10%
16%
22%
24%
12%
14%
20%

7% (over 6 draws)
13%
17%
8%
13%
18%
20%
10%
12%
17%

6% (over 7 draws)
11%
14%
7%
11%
16%
17%
9%
10%
14%

5% (over 8 draws)
10%
12%
6%
10%
14%
15%
8%
9%
12%

4% (over 9 draws)
9%
11%
6%
9%
12%
13%
7%
8%
11%

4% (last 10 draws)
8%
10%
5%
8%
11%
12%
6%
7%
10%

4% (last 10 draws)
6%
4%
4%
3%
4%
4%
3%
4%
3%

4% (last 10 draws)
6%
4%
4%
3%
4%
4%
3%
4%
3%

5% (last 10 draws)
6%
4%
4%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%

5% (last 10 draws)
7%
5%
4%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%

4% (last 10 draws)
6%
5%
4%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%

5% (last 10 draws)
6%
5%
3%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%

4% (last 10 draws)
6%
5%
3%
5%
3%
3%
3%
4%
3%

310 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked

425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked

255 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked

155 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked

70 unchecked
155 checked
65 checked
280 checked
350 checked
425 checked
425 checked
355 checked
360 checked
350 checked

70 unchecked
155 checked
65 checked
280 checked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
255 checked
350 checked

70 unchecked
155 checked
185 checked
280 checked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

180 checked
155 checked
185 checked
205 unchecked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

150 unchecked
155 checked
185 checked
265 checked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

96
336
336
192
336
336
384
192
336
336

1236
384
432
240
384
528
576
288
336
480

1236
384
480
240
384
528
576
288
336
480

1284
384
480
240
384
528
576
288
336
480

1284
288
192
192
144
192
192
144
192
144

1284
288
192
192
240
144
144
144
192
144

1332
336
240
192
240
244
144
144
192
144

1284
288
240
192
240
144
144
144
192
144

1284
288
240
144
240
144
144
144
192
144

310 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked

425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked

255 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked

155 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
430 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked
425 checked

155 checked
155 checked
65 checked
280 checked
350 checked
425 checked
425 checked
355 checked
360 checked
350 checked

155 checked
155 checked
65 checked
280 checked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

155 checked
155 checked
185 checked
280 checked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

155 checked
155 checked
185 checked
205 unchecked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

155 checked
155 checked
185 checked
265 checked
350 checked
270 checked
65 checked
355 checked
225 checked
350 checked

----- Original Message -----
Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 12:23 PM
Subject: RE: Lotto Cheatah weight factor experiment
> Ron,
> I do not understand how to read the chart

[ Legend ]
If you go into Lotto Cheatah's menu item Config you will find that you can configure Lotto Cheatah to automaticly find the best pick setting, either by the number of money paying hits (By Hits) or by the largest total dollar payout (By Score).

Reading the columns:

Date: Date of the draw
Weight: The weight factor setting used to make the picks
Hits: Total money paying hits for this date ("By Hits" method).
Score: The Total of money paying hits x odds for this date (Score method).
Best Hit % @ : Config'd to "By Hits", this is the current money paying hit rate @ this pick setting.
Best $ Score @: Config'd to "By Score", this is the current money winning score @ this pick setting.

Note that there has only been one run recorded [as at this writing], so these hit/score rates are for 1 draw only. Hit/Score rates displayed on the software are normally for 10 draws, ie, a hit rate of 80% for one draw would appear as 8% for 10 draws if no other hits were recorded at this pick setting during that period.

addendum: the term "checked" and "unchecked" is the Companions checkbox setting.
---
Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 11:26 AM
Subject: Ron Question About The Weight Factor

> Do you think we LC users should now start raising the
> weight factor on games we play? Or should we keep the weight
> factor at 1?

Dunno. That's why I'm doing the experiment. So far weight 7 has hit hardest
for one round and weight 1 has hit most and biggest overall. Foreman vs
Ali. We'll see who wins.
---